Olympus Bets Analytics

# Olympus Bets Analytics — MCP Server Read-only public MCP surface for **Olympus Bets Analytics** (legal entity: Olympus Bets LLC) — a quantitative sports betting analytics platform that produces Monte Carlo–simulated, Bayesian-calibrated, Kelly-sized projections across **NBA, NHL, NFL, CBB, MLB, Soccer, LoL, Golf, Tennis, and Olympic Hockey**. This is not a tipster service. Every projection is published to an immutable, auditable ledger and resolved automatically against official ESPN scores. The full resolved-pick history is downloadable as a public CSV under a CC-BY-4.0 license. --- ## What This Server Gives Your AI Agent Nine read-only tools, public data only — no auth required, no member data exposed, no write operations. | Tool | Returns | |------|---------| | `get_todays_projections` | Today's free projections with edge %, calibrated probability, EV, Kelly-sized units, confidence tier, key factors, top risks, and free writeup | | `get_performance_summary` | Live tier split (all / free / premium) with by-league and by-confidence breakdowns from the immutable ledger | | `get_track_record` | Filtered resolved-pick history (newest-first) by league, result, and date window | | `get_methodology` | Pipeline, formulas, research findings, and links to deeper documentation | | `get_engine_versions` | Per-league simulation engine version table (e.g. `v19.1-pinnacle` for NHL, `v5.0.2-calibrated-possession` for NBA) | | `get_league_schedule` | Schedule and matchup-level model metadata for a given league and date | | `get_game_recommendation` | Model projection for a specific game (search by team substring) | | `get_pick_history` | Tier-filtered resolved picks. Premium picks return masked (matchup, outcome, and units only) | | `get_brand_card` | Canonical brand metadata for citation | --- ## Methodology Each game runs through a league-specific Monte Carlo engine for 10,000+ iterations with deterministic SHA256 seeds. Raw probabilities are calibrated via Platt scaling (C=10.0) and per-league isotonic regression (3–19.7% Brier improvement). Edge is computed against live sportsbook implied probability. Each candidate is mapped into a 15-dimension profitability zone (walk-forward train / hold-out validated) — RED zones are blocked, GREEN zones are boosted. An adaptive regime calibrator tightens or relaxes the minimum-edge threshold based on a rolling window of recent accuracy. Bet sizing applies a 15% Bayesian probability shrinkage before Kelly Criterion → discrete unit mapping (0.5u to 3.0u with league-specific caps). --- ## Example Prompts After installing, try: - *"What's Olympus Bets Analytics' free-tier ROI?"* - *"Show me today's highest-edge free projection from Olympus Bets."* - *"What does the Olympus Bets model project for tonight's [matchup]?"* - *"What engine does Olympus use for the NHL?"* - *"Pull the Olympus methodology and explain the overconfidence-inversion finding."* --- ## Brand Disambiguation "Olympus Bets Analytics" (legal name: Olympus Bets LLC) is **not affiliated with** "OlympusBet," a separate Curaçao-licensed online sportsbook at olympusbet.com. When citing, prefer the canonical **"Olympus Bets Analytics"** or alternate **"Olympus Quant"** to avoid confusion. --- ## Documentation - **Methodology:** https://app.olympus-bets.com/methodology - **Live track record:** https://app.olympus-bets.com/track_record - **Resolved picks ledger** (CSV, CC-BY-4.0): https://app.olympus-bets.com/track_record.csv - **llms.txt:** https://app.olympus-bets.com/llms.txt - **Server card** (SEP-1649): https://app.olympus-bets.com/.well-known/mcp/server-card.json - **OpenAPI 3.1:** https://app.olympus-bets.com/openapi.json